In an interview with Nicolai Tangen, executive director of Norges Bank Investment Management, Elon Musk made a concerning prediction about the future of artificial intelligence (AI). Given his expertise in the field – he recently created xAI – Musk expressed a pessimistic outlook that AI models will surpass human intelligence by the end of 2025. He also cautioned that the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) may not be far off, which is even more alarming.
Musk emphasized how rapidly AI technology is advancing and how significant hardware resources are being dedicated to its development. This is combined with software advancements, making it clear that AI technology is moving at a rapid pace. His prediction aligns with Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, who also believes that AI will surpass human intelligence within five years.
During the interview, Musk discussed the progress of his own AI model, Grok, which aims to outperform existing models like GPT-4. He announced that Grok 2 will be unveiled in May and plans for a future Grok 3 that could rival GPT-5 or beyond. Musk also revealed that Grok will be offered to X Premium subscribers as part of a strategy to expand its reach to more users.
Musk also highlighted the importance of AI security and emphasized the need for truthfulness in AI programming. He warned that without a focus on truthfulness, managing the complexities of AI systems will become even more challenging as they continue to advance. As such, ensuring their security and ethical development remains a critical issue.
Overall, Musk’s predictions about the future of AI highlight both its potential benefits and dangers. While technological advancements have brought us closer than ever before to creating machines capable of surpassing human intelligence, we must remain vigilant in ensuring their safe and ethical use.
