Falling Inflation Rates Bring Optimism for Federal Reserve and European Central Bank: Will Interest Rate Adjustments Follow?

February saw a +0.3% increase in PCE inflation in the USA, marking a +2.5% rise over the past 12 months.

The recent decline in inflation rates in the United States and Eurozone has sparked optimism among operators that the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) can move forward with interest rate adjustments. In February, PCE inflation, a key indicator for the Fed, met expectations in the US, while French inflation dropped faster than expected in March. The upcoming data on Eurozone inflation is expected to show a slight slowdown to 2.5%.

In Italy, price growth was also lower than anticipated, with food prices rising by only 1.3% and energy prices falling by 2.3%. While personal incomes in the US saw a monthly decrease of 0.3%, consumption expenses rose by 0.8%, against an expected increase of only 0.5%. This suggests that consumers may be cutting back on spending as they adjust to higher living costs.

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Fed President Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak shortly about his plans regarding interest rate adjustments based on recent inflation data.

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